Topic
Politics
Forecasts about elections, legislation, and the balance of power across governments.
Most likely
Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain the prime minister of Israel until the next election?
⚡Mitch McConnell alive all of July 2026?
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by election?
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?
⚡Will Mitch McConnell speak this year?
⚡In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?
Will voter turnout in the 2026 US midterms exceed 50%?
Will Putin still be Russia's President when the war in Ukraine ends?
⚡Will Trump finish his second term?
⚡Will San Francisco put a ‘Reopen the Great Highway / Close Sunset Dunes Park’ measure on a 2026 ballot?
Most uncertain
CLARITY Act signed into law in 2026?
⚡Will the US avoid a government shutdown in 2026?
⚡Will the US reimpose a blockade on Iran by the end of July 2026?
⚡Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?
⚡Will the US Supreme Court overturn a major precedent in its 2026 term?
Will JD Vance be nominated for President for the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Will Mitch McConnell complete his current term as Senator from Kentucky?
Will there be troops or federal agents at US voting booths in 2026 or 2028?
⚡Will Mitch McConnell resign or die before the end of his term in 2027?
⚡Will Brazil's president change in the next election?
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