News-based estimate

No market data

What we know

Recent reports indicate that Spain is experiencing a severe heatwave, with temperatures exceeding 35°C.

Madrid has seen extreme heat warnings, suggesting that temperatures could be very high.

The heatwave has already caused public events to be canceled due to safety concerns.

Confidencelow

No prediction market covers this directly — estimated from news coverage alone.

Read from 4 news sources — no market data available

Why this forecast

No prediction markets cover the specific temperature forecast for Madrid on July 13. However, recent news indicates a severe heatwave affecting Spain, with temperatures exceeding 35°C in many areas, suggesting a high likelihood of extreme temperatures. Yet, the specific forecast for 34°C is not directly supported by market data.

No prediction markets cover this topic — read from recent news only.

Key development

A severe heatwave is gripping Europe, with temperatures in Spain expected to remain high.

Supporting signals

  • Current heatwave in Europe is causing temperatures to soar above 35°C.
  • Madrid is under extreme heat warnings from meteorological authorities.

Risk factors

  • Weather forecasts could change as the date approaches.
  • Local conditions may vary, affecting temperature readings.

This forecast assumes

  • The heatwave continues without significant interruption.
  • No unexpected weather patterns emerge before July 13.

How this could unfold

Severe heatwave affecting Europe
High-pressure systems leading to elevated temperatures
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 13?
Increased health risks for vulnerable populations
Potential disruptions to outdoor activities and events

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Build a scenario

Toggle the assumptions this forecast depends on, stack as many as you like, and run them together.

The heatwave continues without significant interruption.
No unexpected weather patterns emerge before July 13.